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Security Studies

Based on future emissions and demographic Recommendations
trajectories, a rise in sea levels is expected to lead to The lecture recommended several measures and
the displacement of tens to hundreds of millions of executive policies that can be considered crucial
people by the year 2100. recommendations for decision-makers, as follows:
Recognition of migration and displacement in
By 2050, over a billion people are expected to face
climate-related risks associated with coastal areas. all discussions related to climate change policies.
Between 186 and 245 million people in Africa are Human mobility can sometimes serve as a positive
anticipated to be exposed to sea level rise by 2060, adaptation strategy that saves lives and reduces risks.
due to increased coastal urbanization and climate In other instances, it poses new risks for migrants
change impacts. and their communities. Mitigating and addressing
these risks requires specific measures and sufficient
By 2100, between 50% to 75% of the population may be resources. To ensure adequate resource allocation,
exposed to periods of life-threatening temperatures climate-induced displacement and migration should
and humidity.

Globally, with a 1.5-degrees Celsius increase in
Earth›s temperature, there is an expected 100% or
more likelihood of severe agricultural drought in
vast regions of South America, the Mediterranean,
western China, high latitudes in North America, and
Eurasia.

The lecture addresses the idea that the Middle East
and North Africa are particularly vulnerable to the
effects of climate change, including extremely high
temperatures, limited groundwater, rainfall scarcity,
and the scarcity of arable land. Due to a combination
of water scarcity, rainfall scarcity, demographic
pressures, and population concentration, the Middle
East and North Africa region is the most water-
stressed in the world. The impacts of climate change
are expected to accelerate and intensify in the near
future, exacerbating existing pressures. Evidence
from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
indicates a comprehensive warming process, affecting
both average annual and seasonal temperatures, the
number of days with heatwaves, and a decrease in
rainfall in recent decades. The region is also expected
to experience future drying trends and a faster-than-
global-average temperature increase, heightening the
risk of heatwaves.
Furthermore, the consequences will extend to the
region›s peace and stability, with notable implications..
The repercussions will also have implications for peace
and stability in the region. In addition to the increasing
rates of human mobility and displacement, both within
the region›s borders and beyond.

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